Will the Johannesburg council be hung after the 04 November 2026 local elections?

Johannesburg has been hung since 2016 and has churned through mayors ever since. Whether that is now permanent is the single most consequential local government question in the country.

85cchance of yes
No price history yet. This market has not moved since it opened at 85c.
the voteG-JHB-26NOV04CLOSES 04 NOV 2026, 06:00 SASTIEC, election results

YES bids

83c400

NO bids

13c400

A YES bid at 83c and a NO bid at 13c meet when they add to 100. That pair funds one contract between them.

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How this settles

This market resolves YES if no single party holds more than half of the declared seats in the City of Johannesburg Metropolitan Municipality council. It resolves NO in every other case.