Turnout was 45.79% in 2021, the lowest since 1994, down from 57.94% in 2016. This market asks for 47.1%, which is a bar deliberately set above the last result rather than level with it: not just a recovery, a real one.
A YES bid at 43c and a NO bid at 53c meet when they add to 100. That pair funds one contract between them.
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This market resolves YES if national voter turnout declared by the Electoral Commission is higher than 47.1% of registered voters. It resolves NO in every other case.
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